As I’m sure you’ve heard, there was a 0.75 point increase to prime/variable rates in September, which will decrease affordability for many Buyers (thanks to increased qualification requirements). One of my mortgage brokers expects another 0.25 increase in October and December, with a small decrease next Spring. It takes some time for these rate changes to have the desired effect on inflation, so he thinks rates will be in this general range for a year or two before we see bigger decreases. Despite these thoughts, it’s all fairly unpredictable.
In terms of the market, we have seen some price decreases from the height in the Spring, though there is still activity out there. I was involved in a handful of multiple offer situations this past August and now in September – they didn’t go crazy like they have in the past, which is promising, but it tells me that Buyers are out there for anything that has value. We are also seeing some properties sit on the market, particularly if they are odd or priced too high. The best “deals” right now are tear downs or major reno projects, properties at the expensive end of their overall market or properties with an obvious disadvantage.
In general, what you’re looking for will be cheaper than it was in the Spring. Expect there to be other interested Buyers on anything *great* or priced very reasonably for the current market (so don’t expect much negotiation room, though it depends on the scenario) and if there’s something over priced that is sitting on the market, a lowball would be worthwhile because some Sellers are pricing their properties expecting to negotiate.
I’m thinking inventory this Fall will be on the low end. I expect to see an increase in inventory in the Spring.
If you’re thinking about selling your property, give me a call to chat about value, pricing strategy and the sale process. There are plenty of details to chat about – including timing, value, staging and your potential purchase – so don’t hesitate to contact me if you’d like to get started kristi@realestatevancity.ca or 778-387-7371. The better you understand your current value and what Buyers may be looking for, the more successful your sale. There is a finesse to dealing with a slowing market.
Here’s a snippet from the Real Estate Board’s Monthly Update:
There were 3,328 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in August 2022. This represents a 17.5 per cent decrease compared to the 4,032 homes listed in August 2021 and a 16 per cent decrease compared to July 2022 when 3,960 homes were listed.
The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,662, a 7.3 per cent increase compared to August 2021 (9,005) and a 6.1 per cent decrease compared to July 2022 (10,288).
“Home buyers and sellers are taking more time to assess what this changing landscape means for their housing needs,” Lis said. “Preparation is critical in today’s market. Work with your Realtor to assess what today’s home prices, financing options, and other considerations mean for you.”
For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for August 2022 is 19.4 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 12.2 per cent for detached homes, 25.3 per cent for townhomes, and 24.8 per cent for apartments.
Generally, analysts say downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.
Onto the stats:
Vancouver West Real Estate Stats up to and including August 2022
HPI Price for Vancouver West
*Unfortunately HPI Price can’t be any more specific than Condo/Townhouse/House*
Average Sales Price for Vancouver West
Median Percentage of Original Price for Vancouver West
New Listings for Vancouver West
Total Inventory for Vancouver West
Total Sales for Vancouver West
Sales to Active Ratio for Vancouver West
Median Days on Market for Vancouver West
East Vancouver Real Estate Stats up to and including August 2022
HPI Price for East Vancouver
*Unfortunately HPI Price can’t be any more specific than Condo/Townhouse/House*
Average Sales Price
Median Percentage of Original Price for East Vancouver
New Listings for East Vancouver
Total Inventory for East Vancouver
Total Sales for East Vancouver
Sales to Active Ratio for East Vancouver
Median Days on Market for East Vancouver
What questions do you have? Send me an email or give me a call: kristi@realestatevancity.ca or 778-387-7371.
If you haven’t yet spoken with a mortgage broker, get that process started, particularly if you’re going to be buying and selling. It’s helpful to know your options when it comes to owning two properties via a bridge loan, porting your existing mortgage or understanding how any changes to interest rates will affect you.
If you have any questions as you start thinking about your real estate goals for this year, don’t hesitate to ask.